lunes, 30 de junio de 2014

hola amigos como estana qui les paso otro videito con subtitulos para aquellos que deseen mejorar en sus english skills :D haha este es un videito corto de casi 3 minutos pero abajo del video tendran los subtitulos asi que solo tienen que pulsar play y ver los subtitulos de abajo espero les sirva ya que me tomo mucho esfuerzo hacerlo pero si les va servir me doy por satisfecho :) espero comentarios, sugerencias o algun video que quieran que subtitule
00:00It’s time now for Tom Keene, Bloomberg Editor-at-Large and host of Bloomberg Surveillance right here on Bloomberg Radio…
00:05…and, Tom, our focus today is what is really going on with the economy? What do you mean by that?
00:09Well, you look at equities bonds, currencies, commodities, you can see not much is going on.
00:13-When you look at the spread market… -Because we’re stuck in a range?
00:16Yeah, it’s just range-bound trading and all that, but you look at the spread market, there’s been a big, big improvement.
00:20Let’s go to a chart right away. The Bloomberg financials’ conditions index, Michael Rosenberg and our team put this together.
00:27Above the red line is good news. That was back before the crisis.
00:32Down we go, and then down we plunged to a negative 10 standard deviation’s truly unprecedented…
00:38…and you can see how nicely we’ve recovered.
00:41That’s a set of 10 or 11 spreads. The IMF uses that in their financial stability report as well. Just one indicator things are getting better.
00:50-Sure, one of many; one of the green shoots out there. -Yeah.
00:52What does this Bloomberg financial conditions index track, though, when it comes down to - you’ve mentioned spreads?
00:57Corporate, it’s all spreads. Corporate spreads, immunity spreads, elaborate OIS, it’s just soup…uh, spreads…
01:01…you add salt and pepper, and you can get a picture of the financial conditions that are out there and it’s a big improvement.
01:07-Dean Maki has been relentlessly optimistic… -Dean Maki at…? -… at Barclays Capital. -Okay.
01:13And you know, he’s suggesting here look, things are pretty good.
01:15Savings rate is higher than we believe, when he runs through the numbers…
01:20…and it leads up to a remarkably optimistic end of 2009, and at 2010, that goes to 2.8 percent positive GDP…
01:30…so Barclays Capital really leading the way in optimism as we go into this year…
01:35What is he saying about things like inflation, though? That’s certainly something the bond market is worried about.
01:38That’s a very good point. He’s looking at lesser inflation than the gloom that’s out there.
01:42He thinks it’s overstated. And you get to a top-line GDP which is actually within means.
01:47It’s a very pleasant report, if you would, from Barclays Capital.
01:52You get real economic growth combined with, as you allude to Scarlet, lesser inflation.
01:58Now what are you looking at on Bloomberg Surveillance this morning?
02:00Well, you’ve got George Magnus of UBS, he’s got a more cautious view than Dean Maki.
02:04George Magnus will join us, and Dino Kos of Portales Partners will join us as well, as we try to wrap up the week.
02:12-It’s been a soup of a week, don’t you think? I mean… -'A soup of a week,' that’s a good way of putting it.
02:18-…no real trends here. -Yeah, yeah. Well, we’re grasp – we're clutching at straws here.
02:21Yeah, and don’t forget Jan Hatzius of Goldman Sachs with a far, more cautious view…
02:24…he reaffirmed negative 3 percent for this quarter a few days ago.
02:29Okay, we look forward to it. Bloomberg Surveillance starts at 7 am, runs through 10 am, New York time.

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